Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 5.861692 6.606014 7.420616 8.380270 9.482371 10.711344 12.189588
2024-12-22 4.702636 5.663872 6.797617 8.240846 10.039543 12.220815 15.086674
2024-12-29 4.179545 5.296404 6.691959 8.579715 11.090788 14.350034 18.955888
2025-01-05 3.679859 4.853838 6.389470 8.570586 11.629821 15.829421 22.137788
2025-01-12 3.278495 4.472104 6.094789 8.497321 12.024375 17.108178 25.167277
2025-01-19 2.828267 3.964506 5.558503 8.000562 11.723890 17.314384 26.590506
2025-01-26 2.608607 3.754814 5.412909 8.040046 12.198837 18.703910 30.007727
2025-02-02 2.482023 3.664375 5.425932 8.309348 13.044191 20.754608 34.782863
2025-02-09 2.344481 3.541497 5.373195 8.461856 13.707589 22.575022 39.418060
2025-02-16 2.213854 3.415515 5.300325 8.567702 14.295107 24.324502 44.173289
2025-02-23 2.095236 3.296879 5.225813 8.658059 14.857631 26.086401 49.207303
2025-03-02 1.924779 3.079124 4.968548 8.405441 14.773728 26.646033 51.942822
2025-03-09 1.801798 2.933676 4.825325 8.348868 15.060354 27.972265 56.537330
2025-03-16 1.684706 2.789082 4.671527 8.257992 15.272144 29.181544 61.097344
2025-03-23 1.647962 2.779883 4.752726 8.609027 16.381914 32.342759 70.550686
2025-03-30 1.561008 2.674736 4.652394 8.602427 16.770234 34.047939 76.943344
2025-04-06 1.472697 2.560249 4.525132 8.529427 17.010136 35.459829 82.880274
2025-04-13 1.336241 2.348098 4.199862 8.030678 16.290797 34.643899 83.071732
2025-04-20 1.279354 2.279843 4.141817 8.070356 16.743854 36.562058 90.721486
2025-04-27 1.254051 2.269066 4.192999 8.340814 17.740089 39.892967 102.852159
2025-05-04 1.216606 2.232122 4.189519 8.493977 18.485717 42.723525 114.185911
2025-05-11 1.176445 2.186950 4.165816 8.600277 19.133114 45.401162 125.656290
2025-05-18 1.137239 2.140895 4.136589 8.691022 19.753153 48.098393 137.791213